0x6400219CCCC8EAaA22729253111fD6660D20331a-1759869298583

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $502.2
Potential payout: $582.6
Potential profit: $80.4
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$71.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $520.69
Potential payout: $581.78
Potential profit: $61.09
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$34.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $562.61
Potential payout: $566.29
Potential profit: $3.68
User PnL: $27.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $554.75
Potential payout: $559.51
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $499.01
Potential payout: $505.33
Potential profit: $6.32
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $450.84
Potential payout: $454.25
Potential profit: $3.41
User PnL: $4.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $374.54
Potential payout: $377.94
Potential profit: $3.4
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $357.19
Potential payout: $359.89
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $328.13
Potential payout: $333.46
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $294.4
Potential payout: $319.31
Potential profit: $24.91
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$9.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $309.49
Potential payout: $315
Potential profit: $5.51
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.26

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $301.49
Potential payout: $303
Potential profit: $1.51
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $226.95
Potential payout: $233.73
Potential profit: $6.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $210.34
Potential payout: $226.05
Potential profit: $15.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $205.8
Potential payout: $216.86
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $215.89
Potential payout: $216.21
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $14.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $188.65
Potential payout: $190.08
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $113.72
Potential payout: $113.78
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $10.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $108.44
Potential payout: $108.6
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $4.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $103.17
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $0.83
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $100.5
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $88.97
Potential payout: $89.6
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $86.79
Potential payout: $87.45
Potential profit: $0.66
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $76.19
Potential payout: $79.78
Potential profit: $3.59
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $71.12
Potential payout: $73.47
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $61.43
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $9.57
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $8.83
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $8.03
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $6.77
Potential payout: $6.81
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $957.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $752.25

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685.89

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $644.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.21

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.55

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.79

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.27

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.41

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.13

Down position

Solana Up or Down - November 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.61

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.12

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.96

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.28

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.07

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.56

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.91

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.43

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.82

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.93

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.73

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.66

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.31

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.78

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.78

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.16

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.64

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET