No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $219.38
- Potential payout
- $232.52
- Potential profit
- $13.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $19.44
Polymarket Trader
0x640123037E93270ed1C04a35f2eD166ccb582062-1770363900286
0x640123037e93270ed1c04a35f2ed166ccb582062
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $379.45
- Realized PnL
- $5.99
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $160.07
- Potential payout
- $174.94
- Potential profit
- $14.87
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $16.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?No 82% 174.94 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 71% 140.85 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.2% 100 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 99.5% 7 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 86% 7 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 97.5% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 95.8% 103.35 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 87% 114.94 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 85% 117.58 shares