No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $255.74
- Potential payout
- $562.06
- Potential profit
- $306.33
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $2.81
Polymarket Trader
15billionplus
0x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.21K
- Realized PnL
- $195.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $398.6
- Potential payout
- $460.01
- Potential profit
- $61.41
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $182.11
- Potential payout
- $301
- Potential profit
- $118.9
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$10.54
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $168.25
- Potential payout
- $211.63
- Potential profit
- $43.39
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.17
No position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $151
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $85.6
- Potential payout
- $184.08
- Potential profit
- $98.48
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.9%
- Current value
- $108.19
- Potential payout
- $142.47
- Potential profit
- $34.28
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Y
Yes position
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $71.5
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $62.45
- Potential payout
- $120.09
- Potential profit
- $57.64
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Algeria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $39.75
- Potential payout
- $116.9
- Potential profit
- $77.16
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Yes position
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $60.9
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $55.1
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Current value
- $63.07
- Potential payout
- $100.69
- Potential profit
- $37.62
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $50.4
- Potential payout
- $96
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $54.28
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $37.72
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $58.55
- Potential payout
- $79.66
- Potential profit
- $21.11
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $43.92
- Potential payout
- $79.14
- Potential profit
- $35.22
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
N
No position
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $53.17
- Potential payout
- $74.89
- Potential profit
- $21.72
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $59.27
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $14.73
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $55.31
- Potential payout
- $70.01
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Gabriel Martinelli score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $21.95
- Potential payout
- $63.65
- Potential profit
- $41.7
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.51
N
No position
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $50.63
- Potential payout
- $59.22
- Potential profit
- $8.59
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $49.85
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $47.53
- Potential payout
- $56.25
- Potential profit
- $8.72
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $27.82
- Potential payout
- $55.09
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $35.52
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $18.59
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $11.66
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $11.33
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $9.67
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $7.64
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $7.27
No position
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $6.32
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
No position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $5.43
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 77% 98 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 45% 427 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 82% 62 shares
- Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No 47% 49 shares
- Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No 81% 55 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.4% 59 shares
- Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?Yes 60% 35 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 68% 72 shares
- Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?Yes 74% 61 shares
- Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 73% 50 shares
- Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No 57% 55 shares
- Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Yes 73% 50 shares