Polymarket Trader

mikon009

0x640a64e22c8541007dac4fab9ca323cacf561ec3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $693.77
Realized PnL: $1.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $290.85
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $31.65
Potential payout: $283.84
Potential profit: $252.19
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$16.07

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $238.34
Potential payout: $280.89
Potential profit: $42.55
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$11.66

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $42.4
Potential payout: $279.86
Potential profit: $237.46
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.55
Potential profit: $184.55
User PnL: -$24.37

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $182.81
Potential profit: $172.3
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $131.1
Potential profit: $129.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$38.05

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.29
Potential profit: $126.29
User PnL: -$12.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.26
Potential profit: $109.26
User PnL: -$25.38

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $108.66
Potential profit: $99.7
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $97.78
Potential payout: $101.91
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.83
Potential profit: $101.83
User PnL: -$14.59

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $75.32
Potential payout: $76.35
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $30.41

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.08
Potential profit: $69.08
User PnL: -$5.53

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $68.03
Potential profit: $67.38
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$5.48

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $62.51
Potential payout: $62.6
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $15.21

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.57
Potential profit: $59.57
User PnL: -$7.29

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $43.89
Potential payout: $50.16
Potential profit: $6.27
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $46.53
Potential payout: $46.65
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$21.66

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $15.73
Potential payout: $27.85
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$8.67

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $9.72
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $8.86
User PnL: -$1.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.59

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.83

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.78

Tjen position

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjen

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.29

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.21

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.69

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.22

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.69

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.28

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.28

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.91

Yes position

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.07

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.57

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.39

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.98

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.53

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.77

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.88

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.8

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.83

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.16

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 21.04 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 253.12 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 46.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 4.6% 16.98 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.5% 43.19 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 66.2 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 24.01 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 20% 5.58 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 25% 47.27 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 27% 29.07 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 63% 30.74 shares