Polymarket Trader

law3

0x640c36ed1c59131c473da14f8e47688b69299681

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $343.4
Realized PnL: $176.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $22.41
Potential payout: $26.66
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $24.65
Potential payout: $25.41
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be below -3%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $24.23
Potential payout: $24.36
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.84

No position

South Africa to win the second half?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $20.66
Potential payout: $24.31
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $23.52
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Lee Kangin: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $18.97
Potential payout: $23.14
Potential profit: $4.17
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $20.76
Potential payout: $22.69
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.79

No position

Lee Jaesung: 1+ assists

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $19.49
Potential payout: $22.53
Potential profit: $3.04
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.79

No position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $22.04
Potential payout: $22.46
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Hwang Heechan: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $18.86
Potential payout: $21.93
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $18.29
Potential payout: $21.77
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.8%
Current value: $8.66
Potential payout: $21.77
Potential profit: $13.11
Multiplier: 2.51x
User PnL: -$11.89

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $20.46
Potential payout: $20.5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $17.21
Potential payout: $17.33
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $16.93
Potential payout: $17.18
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.95
Potential payout: $17.15
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$3.69

No position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $15.03
Potential payout: $15.58
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $14.24
Potential payout: $15.04
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $14.47
Potential profit: $14.32
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$14.01

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

No position

Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $415 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" this week? (April 20 - 26)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $700M and $900M at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $4.0B and $4.75B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will Finland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will Donald Trump's tie be red?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Yes position

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.55B?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be at least $2.25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

No position

Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be between 1% and 3%?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

No position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $147 Week of April 27 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

No position

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of April 27 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

No position

Will "Deepfake" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals

No 85% 21.77 shares
Hwang Heechan: 1+ goals

No 87% 21.93 shares
Lee Kangin: 1+ goals

No 85% 23.14 shares
Lee Jaesung: 1+ assists

No 90% 22.53 shares
South Africa to win the second half?

No 86% 24.31 shares
Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?

Yes 95% 22.69 shares
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 24?

No 97.9% 20.5 shares
Cédric Bakambu: 1+ goals

No 91% 22.74 shares
Will Trump's remarks not air?

No 95% 22.46 shares
DR Congo to win the second half?

No 89% 24.72 shares
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Yes 85.1% 26.66 shares
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be below -3%?

No 96% 24.36 shares