verymice

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $75.91
Potential payout: $115.9
Potential profit: $39.99
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $114.29
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.46
Potential profit: $60.46
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.47
Potential profit: $47.47
User PnL: -$20

No position

Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $47
User PnL: -$11.28

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.75
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.63

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.75

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Yes position

Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.9

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.13

Patriots position

Chargers vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.81

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.49

Hawks position

Hawks vs. 76ers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.63

Over position

Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Over position

Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Over position

Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Bears position

Steelers vs. Bears

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Falcons position

Saints vs. Falcons

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

49ers position

Bears vs. 49ers

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Buccaneers position

Cardinals vs. Buccaneers