Polymarket Trader

Integer4

0x64413ed592f05023fe8bcbc7c1d8b88fa6b3139e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.2K
Realized PnL: $34.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.46K
Potential profit: $43.46K
User PnL: -$1.02K

No position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.87K
Potential profit: $6.87K
User PnL: -$2.37K

No position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.73K
User PnL: -$775.99

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $942.24
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$130.18

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $1.66K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $437.86
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$122.85

Yes position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.4%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $574.07
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: -$375.78

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$360

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $206.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $793.5
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$33.5

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994.13
Potential profit: $994.13
User PnL: -$230.89

Yes position

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $465.5
Potential payout: $980
Potential profit: $514.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$34.3

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $527.43
Potential profit: $525.59
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$23.15

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.58
Potential profit: $511.58
User PnL: -$216.17

No position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $181.58
Potential payout: $484.23
Potential profit: $302.64
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $33.58

No position

Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $344.06
Potential payout: $349.84
Potential profit: $5.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $324.38
Potential profit: $322.27
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.89

No position

Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $306.95
Potential payout: $312.1
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $182.52
Potential profit: $174.31
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$35.59

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $56.63
Potential payout: $174.24
Potential profit: $117.61
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $15.25

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.87
Potential profit: $142.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.83
Potential profit: $136.83
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75K

Trzaskowski position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Mazowieckie?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91K

Nawrocki position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódzkie?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

No position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.61

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.52

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499.79

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.75

Sterling position

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterling

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.03

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $383.15

No position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.75

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.07

No position

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.89

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 63%
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $140

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.83

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.27

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.64

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.5

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 51% 20 shares
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 17.48 shares
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No 92% 43.43 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Khamzat Chimaev 83% 120.48 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 35.7% 419.75 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 31% 967.74 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 31% 32.26 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 7.3% 136.83 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 49% 47.27 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 21% 1,499.99 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 4.7% 527.43 shares