Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.9K
- Potential profit
- $25.9K
- User PnL
- -$280.18
Polymarket Trader
ChiiR
0x64474f4e0025010a40a15a629cdd113a9f7e69b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.91K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.05K
- Win rate
- 65.2%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $16.75K
- Potential profit
- $15.16K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$399.16
Yes position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.45K
- Potential profit
- $13.45K
- User PnL
- -$348.11
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $21.64
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.79K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$268.45
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$19.47
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- User PnL
- -$528.99
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$127.99
Yes position
Russia coup attempt in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$342
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $850
- User PnL
- -$630.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $563.83
- Potential profit
- $563.83
- User PnL
- -$124.08
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $83.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $416.75
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- -$86.85
No position
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$193
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.43
- Potential profit
- $32.43
- User PnL
- -$10.6
No position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.48
- Potential payout
- $18.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
No position
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.25
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
Yes position
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.1
Yes position
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Peter Navarro out of Trump administration in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.94
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Quantitative Tightening" during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$229.99
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$451.99
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.36K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?No 66% 18.48 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 2.2% 460 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 34.9% 100 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Lakers vs. PacersLakers 84% 119.05 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 97% 100 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 4.6% 100 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 14% 999.99 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 8% 200 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 17% 200 shares
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.5% 709.18 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 12% 100 shares