cakoy

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$10.21

Yes position

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $277.96
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: -$82.03

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$11.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$13.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.07
Potential profit: $928.07
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $251.4
Potential payout: $824.25
Potential profit: $572.86
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $152.28
Potential payout: $780.94
Potential profit: $628.65
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $5.68

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $706.89
Potential profit: $706.89
User PnL: -$11.15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $303.4
Potential payout: $666.81
Potential profit: $363.41
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $19.37

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $605.36
Potential profit: $587.5
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.11
Potential profit: $602.11
User PnL: -$18.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $598.28
Potential profit: $598.28
User PnL: -$12.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $563.47
Potential profit: $563.47
User PnL: -$9.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $307.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $192.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $19.42
Potential payout: $431.6
Potential profit: $412.18
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$35.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.47
Potential profit: $388.47
User PnL: -$23.31

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.07
Potential profit: $384.07
User PnL: -$13.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $329.79
Potential profit: $329.79
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.5
Potential profit: $325.5
User PnL: -$134.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.84
Potential profit: $322.84
User PnL: -$18.64

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.39
Potential profit: $318.39
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.07
Potential profit: $318.07
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.79
Potential profit: $275.79
User PnL: -$53.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.19

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.51

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.84

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $10.91

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $70 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Implied probability: 25%
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$4.32

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?