Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $390.45
- Potential payout
- $13.7K
- Potential profit
- $13.31K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$31.02
Polymarket Trader
valueorbubble
0x64535134ebf4f57daadbe5afb7f0bfc20d4a5553
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.85K
- Realized PnL
- $28.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98K
- Potential profit
- $10.98K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.61K
- Potential payout
- $9.17K
- Potential profit
- $6.56K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$483.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.51K
- Potential profit
- $6.51K
- User PnL
- -$2.98K
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $75.1
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$18.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $420
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $182
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$162.98
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $980
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$39.92
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $825
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$465
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $435
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $565
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $219.49
- Potential payout
- $877.94
- Potential profit
- $658.46
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$335.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $343.6
- Potential payout
- $516.69
- Potential profit
- $173.09
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $12.92
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $185.43
- Potential payout
- $195.7
- Potential profit
- $10.27
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $19.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $961.19
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $939.46
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $926
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $831.24
Yes position
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.63
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.5
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.59
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540
No position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 1,800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 64% 516.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 49% 617.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 39.3% 1,729.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 49% 1,352.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 58% 750 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 499.99 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 8.8% 2,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 34% 1,441.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 65% 458 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 49% 700 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 41% 286.15 shares