Polymarket Trader

0x646c4458C85e8daA196fd39D7aDEE3642C95dfF9-1780695158516

0x646c4458c85e8daa196fd39d7adee3642c95dff9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.53
Realized PnL: $82.14
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $13.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $46.11
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $45.56
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.4
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $35.7
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$8.67

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $11.03
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $11.31
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $23.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 53% 62.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 14.9% 55.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Down 37% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Down 72% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Down 26% 4.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Down 30% 3.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Up 6% 18.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Down 29% 6.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Down 37% 5.41 shares