Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $32.6
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Polymarket Trader
123445yu
0x64733ee8b0605d06ede183f77f34173ee758d4d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88.57
- Realized PnL
- $95.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.2
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $13.76
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $13.46
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.4%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $10.93
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 4.68x
- User PnL
- -$5.05
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $8.96
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $7.89
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $6.36
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.89
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Up position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Down position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 22 2026?No 66% 3 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 22 2026?No 57% 8.65 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 34% 7 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 22% 6.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 79% 6.38 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 8.15 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 20% 40 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?Yes 44% 8.66 shares
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?No 25% 6.72 shares
- Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No 59% 10.32 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 37% 9 shares