Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $299.88
- Potential payout
- $408
- Potential profit
- $108.12
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $26.52
Polymarket Trader
NoahRodriguez2956
0x6478c297bae6ac98423f02d7cbec3ba2a42d49f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $661.57
- Realized PnL
- $4.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $151.25
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $123.75
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.4%
- Current value
- $144.36
- Potential payout
- $256
- Potential profit
- $111.64
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$45.34
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $57.67
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $15.33
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $46.72
Yes position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $8.41
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $20.59
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $3.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.37
Yes position
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.75
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.77
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $406.89
Under position
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.5
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.12
No position
Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.41
San Francisco Dons position
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.71
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.09
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $143.41
N
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.31
No position
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" this week? (February 1)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.09
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $100.48
Yes position
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.53
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.22
Yes position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $85.05
Yes position
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.74
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $79.56
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.68
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.42
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.8
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.51
Yes position
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.71
Yes position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 64% 317 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 48.6% 455 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 48.6% 456 shares
- Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?No 24% 25 shares
- Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?No 24% 468 shares
- Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?No 24% 371 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 22% 283 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 22% 119 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 22% 155 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?No 24% 345 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?No 24% 709 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 84% 557 shares