Polymarket Trader

tripping

0x6480542954b70a674a74bd1a6015dec362dc8dc5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.92K
Realized PnL: $54.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $858.17K
Potential profit: $855.17K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $817.87K
Potential profit: $815.01K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $408.93

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $741.02K
Potential profit: $739.17K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $370.51

Yes position

Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $702.13K
Potential profit: $700.38K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$54.06

Yes position

Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $686.99K
Potential profit: $685.27K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $343.49

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $517.72K
Potential profit: $515.91K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $258.86

Yes position

Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $68.28
Potential payout: $136.56K
Potential profit: $136.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$204.84

Yes position

Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $65.72
Potential payout: $131.44K
Potential profit: $131.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$197.15

Yes position

Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $190.82
Potential payout: $127.22K
Potential profit: $127.02K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$63.61

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $62.09
Potential payout: $124.19K
Potential profit: $124.12K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$186.28

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $166.83
Potential payout: $111.22K
Potential profit: $111.05K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $55.61

Yes position

Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $52.64
Potential payout: $105.28K
Potential profit: $105.23K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$157.92

Yes position

Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $101.36
Potential payout: $67.57K
Potential profit: $67.47K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$33.79

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $211.25
Potential payout: $32.5K
Potential profit: $32.29K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$16.22

Over position

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $8.05
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $7.43
Potential profit: $7.38
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.87K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.29K

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.42K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.87K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.55K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1K

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.13K

Under position

Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 17,069.46 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 73,345.65 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 12,221.62 shares
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 49% 876.5 shares
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 126,150.57 shares
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 195,883.29 shares
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.3% 64.23 shares
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.3% 14.2 shares
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.3% 243,210.48 shares
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.3% 18,871.27 shares
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.3% 428,678.44 shares