N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- User PnL
- -$16.28
Polymarket Trader
Ox648bAD7080caA1a9931B2774B20e87ECa75900ba
0x648bad7080caa1a9931b2774b20e87eca75900ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.72
- Realized PnL
- $474.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $12.76
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $676
- Potential profit
- $676
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.64
- Potential profit
- $308.64
- User PnL
- -$48.3
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $290.25
- Potential profit
- $288.07
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.86
- Potential profit
- $131.86
- User PnL
- -$38.69
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.23
- Potential profit
- $112.23
- User PnL
- -$22.15
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.14
- Potential profit
- $77.14
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $43.51
- Potential payout
- $48.61
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.22
- Potential profit
- $47.22
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.69
- Potential profit
- $37.69
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.42
- Potential profit
- $35.42
- User PnL
- -$5.6
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.19
- Potential profit
- $35.19
- User PnL
- -$11.01
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.52
- Potential profit
- $34.52
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $26.56
- Potential profit
- $21.15
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.89
- Potential profit
- $24.89
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $22.92
- Potential payout
- $24.26
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $18.04
- Potential payout
- $23.27
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $20.74
- Potential profit
- $17.52
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $20.36
- Potential profit
- $8.86
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.34
- Potential profit
- $20.34
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $20.22
- Potential profit
- $15.77
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $112.64
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.35
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.42
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.92
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $16.33
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.76
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 1,167.5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 1,167.5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 6 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 84.4% 10.11 shares
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No 90% 8.09 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 85% 2.02 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 96.9% 2.01 shares