Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$105.76
Polymarket Trader
MontyWalsh
0x648c9f843818003c5e9f575b818c0503f63109c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.04
- Realized PnL
- $10.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tony Finau win The 2025 Open Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Wisconsin win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$20.4
Yes position
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$33.6
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$50.49
Yes position
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$210.1
Yes position
Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $77.04
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 Open Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$20
Packers position
Packers vs. Vikings
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$50.99
Yes position
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$209
Yes position
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 Open Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$42.1
Yes position
Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$38.44
Yes position
Will Michael Kim win the 2026 U.S. Open?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$11.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$43.78
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$558.43
Yes position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 U.S. Open?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.69
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.43
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.59
No position
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.65
No position
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.8
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.37
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.08
Bears position
Packers vs. Bears
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.97
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.34
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.19
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.37
Eagles position
Packers vs. Eagles
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.99
No position
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.37
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.94
Steelers position
Ravens vs. Steelers
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.13
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.6
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.32
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.14
No position
Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down 90% 157 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Austria 60% 120 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down 84% 5 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down 74% 10 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down 81% 35.4 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down 29% 200 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down 19% 200 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down 20% 200 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?Down 19% 243.05 shares
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 1.1% 908.67 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 98.9% 385.49 shares
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 2.6% 400 shares