Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $415.33
- Potential payout
- $4.89K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $87.49
Polymarket Trader
MoonShootBets
0x6491bc1d38a8715d5eccd066c57602af697b74b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $215.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $92.38
- Potential payout
- $499.35
- Potential profit
- $406.97
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$17.01
No position
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $109.34
- Potential payout
- $446.29
- Potential profit
- $336.95
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $88.6
- Potential payout
- $432.21
- Potential profit
- $343.61
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $84.23
- Potential payout
- $410.86
- Potential profit
- $326.63
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$29.65
No position
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $170.85
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $30.15
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $36.85
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $164.92
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $34.06
- Potential payout
- $166.16
- Potential profit
- $132.1
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$15.94
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $25.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $74.5
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $29.89
- Potential payout
- $77.94
- Potential profit
- $48.05
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $15.66
- Potential payout
- $74.57
- Potential profit
- $58.91
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$9.22
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $47.47
- Potential profit
- $42.72
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $11.76
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $15.27
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.37
- Potential profit
- $26.37
- User PnL
- -$13.3
Yes position
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $7.42
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $8.71
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $15.59
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
No position
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $11.77
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $6.44
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.41
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.16
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.24
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $9.67
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.22
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 3.5% 20.92 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 64% 7.81 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 22.2% 22.51 shares
- Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 83% 6.02 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 24.8% 40.31 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes 30.8% 32.45 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 30.9% 64.63 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 23.7% 105.42 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 6% 666.67 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24% 125 shares