Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Polymarket Trader
Frivandus
0x649414f611a73b2c9aa847ae51cd3d55f013c1b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $224.74
- Realized PnL
- $497.9
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $695.98
- Potential profit
- $692.15
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $592.8
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $564.29
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $23.49
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $441.63
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$16.51
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $53.1
- Potential payout
- $397.73
- Potential profit
- $344.63
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $327.94
- Potential profit
- $323.35
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.8
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $284.43
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $36.66
- Potential payout
- $264.71
- Potential profit
- $228.04
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.34
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $255.14
- Potential profit
- $241.49
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $235.36
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $185.27
- Potential profit
- $183.14
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $180.09
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $162.92
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $159.09
- Potential profit
- $157.26
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $130.43
- Potential profit
- $127.04
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
No position
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $102.56
- Potential profit
- $93.49
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $98.53
- Potential profit
- $93.36
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $17.04
- Potential payout
- $69.57
- Potential profit
- $52.52
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $56.4
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $18.27
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $39.73
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $6.27
Yes position
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $50.57
- Potential profit
- $50.04
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$6.47
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $50.51
- Potential profit
- $49.42
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.48
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.6
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.72
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.64
No position
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.84
Yes position
Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.76
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.47
No position
Will Trump say "Sleepy" or "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "DHS" or "TSA" in Michigan?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Carlo Ancelotti be the next manager of Benfica?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Cesc Fabregas be the next manager of Benfica?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 6.8M and 6.9M in April?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Technology" during his next video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Denmark come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.4% 166.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 0.7% 285.71 shares
- Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 181.82 shares
- Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.4% 159.09 shares
- Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 238.1 shares
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.6% 130.43 shares
- Will Trump say "Bond" in June?No 49.4% 12.14 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 5.1% 98.53 shares
- Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 1.5% 327.94 shares
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during June 24 Rally?No 24% 16.67 shares
- Will Trump say "MAHA" or "Make America Healthy Again" during June 24 Rally?No 54% 7.41 shares
- Will anyone say "Fish" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?No 23.2% 12.93 shares