Polymarket Trader

Orrus

@Orrrus

0x64a07bc0912a87a3ca274fc340ac777733969d96

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $140.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above $29.0B?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.09
Potential profit: $119.09
User PnL: -$16.59

Yes position

Will Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be between 0% and 0.5%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will Russia enter Riasne by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.41
Potential profit: $38.41
User PnL: -$18.82

Yes position

AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.79
Potential profit: $26.79
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above $1.75B?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.43

No position

Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.04

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.45

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

No position

Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.37

Over position

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 12AM ET

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Lahore Qalandars position

Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.1

New Zealand position

ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will South Africa win?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Over position

RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 2AM ET

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

No 16.9% 7.76 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

No 12% 5.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?

Yes 19% 77.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?

Yes 20% 22.92 shares
Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Yes 78.5% 49.99 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 84% 1 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 84% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

No 10% 4.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

No 13% 45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?

No 39% 41.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 27?

Yes 1% 100 shares