Polymarket Trader

SupDekel

0x64a0bf426d355eb92887d01fdf386594eaf0866e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $602.48
Realized PnL: $3.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $12.53
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$154.48

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $163.14
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $840.78
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$424.08

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $658.3
Potential profit: $656
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$172.66

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.44
Potential profit: $549.44
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $120.35
Potential payout: $523.26
Potential profit: $402.91
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $55.77
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $328.85
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$44.23

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$75

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $248.39
Potential payout: $257.54
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $48.39

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$76

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$67.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.64

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.88

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.48

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.29

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.91

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.18

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.7

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.69

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.57

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.07

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.77

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.3

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.05

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.04

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.9

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.32

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.92

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.66

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.85

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $44.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 77.7% 257.54 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96.2% 100 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 300 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 52% 100 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 56% 130 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 96.3% 100 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 26% 384.62 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Yes 62.5% 319.98 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Yes 15% 117.69 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Yes 23.4% 427.74 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Yes 24.5% 81.63 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Yes 25% 160.28 shares