Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x64b2...55de
0x64b2120337f24f46bec3a36dda3254f902de55de
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $385.82
- Realized PnL
- $448.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $273.6
- Potential payout
- $277.77
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $74.65
- Potential profit
- $74.27
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.41
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.5
- Potential profit
- $53.5
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $49.62
- Potential profit
- $49.2
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.65
- Potential profit
- $48.65
- User PnL
- -$26.76
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.6
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $26.4
- Potential payout
- $28.54
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $8.02
- Potential payout
- $27.65
- Potential profit
- $19.63
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $16.84
- Potential payout
- $19.25
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $14.01
- Potential payout
- $16.2
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $13.12
- Potential payout
- $13.61
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.39
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $4.48
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $4.47
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $4.41
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $4.22
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $4.04
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $3.11
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $3.1
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $2.76
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.82
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.69
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.72
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.83
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.17
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No 63% 1.59 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No 64% 1.56 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No 64% 1.56 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 88% 1.14 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 88% 1.14 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 88% 1.14 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.9% 1.04 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.8% 1.04 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.8% 1.04 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.9% 1.04 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.8% 1.04 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 4.5 shares