Ba8f

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $19.17K
Potential payout: $20.25K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$178.95

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8K
Potential profit: $9.8K
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58K
Potential profit: $7.58K
User PnL: -$7.29K

No position

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $5.72K
Potential payout: $6.58K
Potential profit: $861.72
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$329.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.31K
Potential profit: $4.31K
User PnL: -$605.11

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$2.37K

Yes position

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$2.36K

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $43.4
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $136.22

Yes position

Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

Over $150M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$182.93

Yes position

Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$229.64

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$715.42

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $937
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $137

Yes position

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$871.13

No position

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $917.73
Potential payout: $990
Potential profit: $72.27
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$59.63

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $957.41
Potential profit: $957.41
User PnL: -$611.2

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $863.03
Potential profit: $863.03
User PnL: -$478.87

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 24?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $854
Potential profit: $854
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.26
Potential profit: $687.26
User PnL: -$240.54

Yes position

Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465.4
Potential profit: $465.4
User PnL: -$20.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67K

No position

Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89K

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11K

No position

Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $889.06

No position

Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $864.63

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.66

Yes position

HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $677.08

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.03

No position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $415.84

Yes position

Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.34

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.22

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.79

Yes position

Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.2

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.39

No position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?