No position
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $23.55
- Potential payout
- $23.77
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $2.16
Polymarket Trader
0x64b9...115e
0x64b9efaa7a6c1266e7f40b421048be2bfa36115e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $24.64
- Realized PnL
- -$2.5
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $4.11
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pope" or "Leo" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?No 90% 23.77 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.4% 30.92 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99.4% 20.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 98.9% 20.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 98.8% 20.32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 95.2% 20.33 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.7% 30.93 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 28% 4.11 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No 98% 6.28 shares
- Will Trump say "Pope" or "Leo" this week? (April 20 - 26)Yes 72% 1.37 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?Yes 2.4% 38.74 shares