Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x64c4CbBFEc7AD76491f47Dd30dC71Aa865C388C9-1776298120798
0x64c4cbbfec7ad76491f47dd30dc71aa865c388c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $209.25
- Realized PnL
- $113.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.63
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $154.49
- Potential payout
- $156.6
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $86.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $52.87
- Potential payout
- $81.97
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.77
- Potential profit
- $59.77
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 26.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 86% 17.44 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 99% 14.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 55% 14.55 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 32% 24.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 9.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 84% 35.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 40.6% 123.19 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 83.3% 31.11 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 16.6% 240.27 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 79% 25.32 shares