Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2M
- Potential profit
- $2M
- User PnL
- -$172.43K
Polymarket Trader
0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8
0x64c8ec47e1f5a367f234a74f8176d805e87173ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.3K
- Realized PnL
- $376.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $12.62K
- Potential payout
- $18.97K
- Potential profit
- $6.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $853.8
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.74K
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $497.07
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $28.14
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $597.24
- Potential payout
- $751.24
- Potential profit
- $154
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $63.86
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $186.74
- Potential payout
- $485.03
- Potential profit
- $298.29
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$26.68
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $57.89
- Potential payout
- $150.37
- Potential profit
- $92.48
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$6.77
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $37.4
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $72.6
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $27.41
- Potential payout
- $27.77
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $17.93
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.47K
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.13K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.23K
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35K
No position
Iran strike on Israel before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19K
No position
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.46K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4K
No position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61K
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73K
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
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Yes position
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
No position
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
Yes position
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Yes position
Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration?
Ends Dec 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
No position
Will Biden pardon Hillary?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 62% 17,317.1 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 43% 150.37 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 485.03 shares
- Will Brad Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?No 92.4% 181 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89% 2,341.87 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 8% 157,046.38 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 40,982.19 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 106,462.44 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 569 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 78,977.55 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 173,092.37 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 20,114.48 shares