Polymarket Trader

0x64D87B5F9326A1b0e8cDebE73d169f16bA2659a3-1761899875050

0x64d87b5f9326a1b0e8cdebe73d169f16ba2659a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.02
Realized PnL: $20.93
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $72.95
Potential profit: $69.71
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Japan recession in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.07
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.92
Potential profit: $11.92
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?

Ends Aug 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $7.19
Potential profit: $6.72
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: -$2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.44

No position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?

Yes 13.9% 7.19 shares
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Japan recession in 2026?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 2.7% 72.95 shares
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Up 99% 1.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Up 91% 1.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Down 35% 2.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Down 33% 1.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Down 66% 1.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Up 2% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Up 8% 2.38 shares