Polymarket Trader

Kindadam

0x64fae4ccb4a6469608470ed1db70f5ae1b0e4133

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.05
Realized PnL: -$6.11
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.26
Potential profit: $100.26
User PnL: -$11.23

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $8.54
Potential payout: $55.12
Potential profit: $46.58
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $2.54

Utah Jazz position

NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippers

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.59
Potential profit: $28.59
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $16.71
Potential profit: $10.22
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: -$0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $9.13
Potential profit: $7.13
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $7.59
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $6.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 27.9%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $7.09
Potential profit: $5.12
Multiplier: 3.59x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $7.02
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $4.85
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$3

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2.4
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0

San Antonio Spurs position

NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?

Yes 57% 7.02 shares
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by July 31?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?

Yes 10.9% 55.12 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 71% 7.04 shares
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 56% 8.93 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 91% 5.49 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 95% 5.26 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 41.2% 12.12 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?

Yes 24% 12.5 shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 3.57 shares
NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs 92.6% 2.16 shares
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippers

Utah Jazz 44.7% 4.47 shares