Polymarket Trader

SchnackNicht

0x651392a1c43e89669feca9b23baf8478eab88c10

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.93
Realized PnL: $9.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.36
Potential profit: $684.36
User PnL: -$277.11

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442
Potential profit: $442
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$16.8

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.87
Potential profit: $245.87
User PnL: -$65.47

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.1
Potential profit: $97.1
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.1
Potential profit: $54.1
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $46.93
Potential payout: $47.5
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $822.58

No position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $685.06

No position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $624.11

No position

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $621.18

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.17

No position

Will DualShot Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553.86

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.38

No position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.11

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.19

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.57

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.52

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.34

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $368.81

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $365.19

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.93

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.57

No position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $284.09

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.91

No position

Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.35

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.28

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.8

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.19

No position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.59

Yes position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Yes 14% 50 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Yes 14.3% 464.38 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Yes 20% 20 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Yes 1% 23 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Yes 17.2% 330 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Yes 3% 35 shares
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

No 85.6% 272.33 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Yes 70% 398.74 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?

Yes 70% 500 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

No 9% 200 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

No 45% 8.89 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

No 26.6% 445.87 shares