Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67K
- Potential profit
- $66.67K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376
0x6519259c2b215ee3c958e57276ac9d679d3e611b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.17K
- Realized PnL
- $17.39K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.9K
- Potential profit
- $33.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $20K
- Potential payout
- $21.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.09K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.27K
- Potential profit
- $11.27K
- User PnL
- -$4.54K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.76K
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $442.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $378.23
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $413.89
- Potential payout
- $899.76
- Potential profit
- $485.87
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$71.9
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.84
- Potential profit
- $476.84
- User PnL
- -$108.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.88
- Potential profit
- $29.88
- User PnL
- -$14.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.29
No position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.74
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $344.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.75
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.36
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.86
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$49.11
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$203.24
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$208.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 41.2% 602.59 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 48% 2.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 3,414.39 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 54% 539.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 1,887.34 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 92% 109 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 101 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75% 2,093.33 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 53.9% 2,911.97 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 87% 50.1 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 87.2% 51 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 88% 74.88 shares