0x651A84eC4AAB705bB3d8f4c831ef46eCdbC622E9-1763158430545

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $192.47
Potential profit: $191.6
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $149.63
Potential payout: $185.88
Potential profit: $36.25
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $40.17

Yes position

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $43.67
Potential payout: $132.32
Potential profit: $88.65
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $36.93
Potential payout: $76.93
Potential profit: $40
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $9.49

Yes position

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $13.18
Potential payout: $59.93
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.48
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $47.61
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $44.07
Potential profit: $39.44
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $38.59
Potential profit: $33.96
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $17.39
Potential payout: $33.12
Potential profit: $15.73
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $6.84

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.67
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.07
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.71
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.52

Yes position

Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.77

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.45

No position

Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.69

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.88

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.59

Yes position

Will Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.75

Yes position

Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.47

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.15

Yes position

Will there be no coalition by October 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.65

Yes position

Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Yes position

Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yi position

FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Yi vs Erigaisi (Advances)

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.31

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be another combination?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.61

No position

Will Zhu Jiner win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Utrecht’s 2026 municipal election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?