Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.11
- Potential profit
- $45.11
- User PnL
- -$14.35
Polymarket Trader
0x6527Bbf8d777a933cA05758f498A24b52B0eC01F-1768114797031
0x6527bbf8d777a933ca05758f498a24b52b0ec01f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.36
- Realized PnL
- $98.63
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.23
- Potential profit
- $24.23
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.17
- Potential profit
- $24.17
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.19
- Potential profit
- $22.19
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.12
- Potential profit
- $22.12
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.73
- Potential profit
- $14.73
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $10.36
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.57
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 14?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?No 64% 31.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?No 56% 8.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 13?Yes 11.9% 8.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?No 74% 6.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?No 69% 7.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?No 58.1% 8.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 13?Yes 15.8% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 13?Yes 80% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 13?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 13?Yes 80% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 13?Yes 80% 6.25 shares