Polymarket Trader

0x652bFf901f401F

0x652bff901f401f22b2da47ad1c5c4b5870b3f5c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $500.59
Realized PnL: $5.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$19.93

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $114.94
Potential payout: $5.11K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$46.74

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.52K
Potential profit: $4.52K
User PnL: -$257.51

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.72K
User PnL: -$7.49

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.12
Potential profit: $551.12
User PnL: -$55.92

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $442.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $493.49
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.43
Potential profit: $318.43
User PnL: -$11.65

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$9.6

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $70.23
Potential payout: $167.23
Potential profit: $96.99
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $21.68

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $114.22
Potential payout: $160.87
Potential profit: $46.65
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$2.55

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.1%
Current value: $70.99
Potential payout: $116.18
Potential profit: $45.2
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$32.24

No position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.99
Potential profit: $114.99
User PnL: -$94.94

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $43.29
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $67.71
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $32.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $106.21
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.2%
Current value: $18.43
Potential payout: $28.7
Potential profit: $10.27
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $0.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.87

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Multiplier: 5.85x
User PnL: $355.76

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $349.86

No position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.15

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.95

No position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $276.12

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.66

No position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.57

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $154.48

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.81

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.6%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $141.97

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.28

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.12

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $58.15

No position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.63

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.92

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.06

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 74% 217 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 74% 236 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 74% 251 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 72.9% 50 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 73% 293 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 73% 337 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 73% 400 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 73% 400 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 73% 400 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 73% 200 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 73% 50 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 73% 50 shares