Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $14.27
- Potential payout
- $65.29
- Potential profit
- $51.03
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- $4.27
Polymarket Trader
cybtrd
0x652c4cb79fe3ac47fe0b4e5453a65a6df19308fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.28
- Realized PnL
- $90.88
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.43
- Potential profit
- $35.43
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.93
- Potential profit
- $25.93
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.14
- Potential profit
- $24.14
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.56
- Potential profit
- $13.56
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $11.29
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $9.59
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $9.46
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $7.51
- Potential payout
- $9.46
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $7.27
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $7.04
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.76
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 15.3% 65.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 86% 11.63 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 51.6% 13.56 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 80% 8.75 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 84% 8.33 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74% 9.46 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 73% 9.59 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?No 77% 9.09 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes 27% 25.93 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 19.8% 35.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 44.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 62% 11.29 shares