Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $398.78
- Potential payout
- $6.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.74K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$556.74
Polymarket Trader
0x6532...11af
0x65321c5dcd482a69778e40ad260d089f821b11af
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $420.78
- Realized PnL
- $12.64
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $22
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $378
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.04
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$45.45
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$104.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No 19.6% 428.63 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No 10.9% 91.11 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No 10.8% 92.13 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No 10.8% 9.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 658 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 1,560 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 24% 227.27 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 44% 227.27 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 59.3% 283.26 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.6% 1,673.53 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.4% 1,673.54 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 45% 420.51 shares