Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $7.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $25.25
Polymarket Trader
gramschmidt
0x65385c9376b0ea54bcaa71706598ae56fc5b9392
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.13K
- Realized PnL
- $437.48
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $130.65
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $67.06
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $521.99
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $17.98
No position
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $24.53
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $20.48
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $17.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $22.4
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $150.9
Yes position
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.2
Yes position
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.2
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 40 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 91.7% 3.52 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2% 1,000 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.1% 100 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 22% 1,355 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3% 637.94 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 23% 1,800 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 22% 2,000 shares