Polymarket Trader

e1yx

0x6543b4a242cc87f9421a40720320ce122d5fecba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $134.59
Realized PnL: $940.7
Win rate: 68.8%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76K
Potential profit: $6.76K
User PnL: -$154.97

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$57.89

Yes position

Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $717.75
Potential profit: $717.75
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559.78
Potential profit: $559.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475.56
Potential profit: $475.56
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.2
Potential profit: $408.2
User PnL: -$125.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.52
Potential profit: $232.52
User PnL: -$69.33

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.96
Potential profit: $205.96
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $18.64
Potential payout: $114.34
Potential profit: $95.71
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $89.86
Potential profit: $86.4
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$24.94

No position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.97
Potential profit: $81.97
User PnL: -$50

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.59
Potential profit: $37.59
User PnL: -$7.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.37

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.35

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.95

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.21

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.03

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.97

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98.7

No position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Yes 29% 86 shares
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Yes 99.2% 154.44 shares
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Yes 88.9% 154.44 shares
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

No 61% 81.97 shares
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 23% 434.78 shares
Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI?

Yes 60.5% 165.29 shares
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 1.2% 919.47 shares
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 0.6% 140.52 shares
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 1.9% 338.68 shares
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 1.6% 326.1 shares
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Yes 33% 82.2 shares
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Yes 32% 26 shares