Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $44.67
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Polymarket Trader
0x655B4319bC062Dab138C5F07c4EEf7292d8A99A4-1778209386744
0x655b4319bc062dab138c5f07c4eef7292d8a99a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.98
- Realized PnL
- -$3.27
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.54
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $21.77
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $9.53
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $3.43
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $16.04
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $9.77
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.74
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 2.13 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 20.5% 9.77 shares
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 9.2% 21.77 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No 2.8% 9.37 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?No 2.4% 10 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 15.3% 6.21 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes 86% 3.49 shares
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 41.67 shares