Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $125K
- Potential profit
- $122.06K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $437.5
Polymarket Trader
Melampus
0x656152aca7927e6675dd5aa57ef46e7f6f8de3c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.97K
- Realized PnL
- $6.41K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.42K
- Potential profit
- $23.42K
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $11.9K
- Potential profit
- $10.41K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $859.7
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$459.99
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- User PnL
- -$1.74K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $31.23
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$600
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $599.67
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $425.41
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Jirí Procházka position
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $811.64
- Potential profit
- $811.64
- User PnL
- -$405.82
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $740.74
- User PnL
- -$400
Israel Adesanya position
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $675.44
- Potential profit
- $675.44
- User PnL
- -$385
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $46.67
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $620
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$53.33
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $511
- Potential profit
- $511
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $485.59
- Potential profit
- $485.59
- User PnL
- -$150
Moreno position
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.81
- Potential profit
- $465.81
- User PnL
- -$303
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440.61
- Potential profit
- $440.61
- User PnL
- -$215
Yes position
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.73
- Potential profit
- $337.73
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.73
- Potential profit
- $335.73
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the fight be won by submission?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.85
- Potential profit
- $270.85
- User PnL
- -$143.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.78
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.11
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.27
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.48
Joshua Van position
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.07
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.82
Carlos Prates position
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.28
Steve Erceg position
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.75
Sean Brady position
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.95
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.06
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $186.43
Kai Asakura position
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.89
Michael Page position
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.75
Quillan Salkilld position
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.27
Caio Borralho position
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.09
Gregory Rodrigues position
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
Josh Hokit position
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.21
Jacobe Smith position
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.38
Coria position
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.85
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 6,298.18 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.6% 11,904.76 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No 47% 2,126.24 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No 58.5% 1,025.08 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 125,000 shares
- Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?Yes 72% 694.44 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 52% 1,153.85 shares
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes 58.7% 511 shares
- Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?Yes 66% 757.58 shares
- Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?Yes 59% 423.73 shares
- Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?Yes 66.1% 377.97 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)Bo Nickal 76% 434.21 shares