Polymarket Trader

nataliaivan

0x656c71ffd94a9eafec603bfc5d0660f077637f2d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.95
Realized PnL: $8.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $16.33
Potential payout: $133.31
Potential profit: $116.98
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$14.33

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.46
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.9%
Current value: $28.08
Potential payout: $63.97
Potential profit: $35.89
Multiplier: 2.28x
User PnL: -$22.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wizards position

Hawks vs. Wizards

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95K

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.99

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.73

Rockets position

Grizzlies vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410

49ers position

Panthers vs. 49ers

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.19

Mavericks position

Nuggets vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.77

Panthers position

Oilers vs. Panthers

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

PSG position

Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villa

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Thunder position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

No position

Megaquake by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Nets position

Nets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Jan 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will Celtic advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?

Ends Apr 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Brewers position

Brewers vs. Pirates

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

No 79.1% 63.97 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 94.9% 40 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99.8% 12.86 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 97.2% 12.87 shares
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Under 41% 127 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

No 95% 50 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

No 95% 50 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 94% 40 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Yes 44% 63.56 shares
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Yes 95.3% 26.35 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 23% 133.31 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 95% 25 shares