No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $152.08
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Polymarket Trader
Sorrowful0
0x658904f5ad13dfe2c855161c4565143c70afa4e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $436.07
- Realized PnL
- $218.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $149.77
- Potential payout
- $152.28
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $134.22
- Potential payout
- $135.58
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Ethereum all time high by August 22?
Ends Aug 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.08
- Potential profit
- $80.08
- User PnL
- -$80
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.86
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Solana hit $300 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 October 20-26?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Up position
XRP Up or Down on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 98.5% 152.28 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 98.1% 135.58 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 98.8% 153.85 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.5% 175.41 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 97.7% 174 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.1% 248.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 98.9% 145.6 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No 99% 270.71 shares
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports 97.3% 143.88 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.8% 202.43 shares
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports 96.3% 186.45 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No 98.9% 222.45 shares