Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Polymarket Trader
AyM3nKcM
0x658b8bc801b47a5bf6d5547160f3caf9a7813e03
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.5
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $93000 and $95000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5% 4 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 15 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.8% 46 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.9% 68 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5% 72 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 3.5% 77 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 3.3% 160 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55.6% 12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 53% 1 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 96% 51 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 97% 51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 20% 26 shares