moneycomecomebaby

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $110.93
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $7.27
Potential payout: $85.52
Potential profit: $78.25
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $84.09
Potential profit: $82.53
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $75.55
Potential profit: $66.3
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $66.31
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $63.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $63.85
Potential profit: $63.72
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$9.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $8.62
Potential payout: $61.58
Potential profit: $52.96
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $50.76
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.95
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $48.03
Potential profit: $48.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $9.78
Potential payout: $47.73
Potential profit: $37.95
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $33.3
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $37.13
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $7.88
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $26.78
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $18.23
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $32.63
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $12.38
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$5.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$29.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $27.9
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.89
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$21.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.91
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$26.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $44.91
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $19.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.92

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

Down position

BNB Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET