Polymarket Trader

popdouglas67kirk

0x65937988ce14e0eb338109777a2ac7eb6021445e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $377.66
Realized PnL: $490.36
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $178.15
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $938.77
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $55.65

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $751.17
Potential profit: $751.17
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $484.38
Potential profit: $483.41
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $87.15
Potential payout: $434.64
Potential profit: $347.49
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $37.15

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $25.76
Potential payout: $231
Potential profit: $205.24
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.44
Potential profit: $194.44
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $27.88
Potential payout: $164.5
Potential profit: $136.62
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.57
Potential profit: $156.57
User PnL: -$72.5

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.52
Potential profit: $109.52
User PnL: -$46

No position

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.69
Potential profit: $103.69
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $57.76
Potential payout: $89.55
Potential profit: $31.79
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$2.24

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.13
Potential profit: $82.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Ecuador position

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$30

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.47
Potential profit: $74.47
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.3
Potential profit: $69.3
User PnL: -$20

Connecticut Sun position

Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.63
Potential profit: $68.63
User PnL: -$35

Under position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $65.22
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.7

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.35

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.12

Over position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

Under position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.75

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.97

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.71

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.97

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $29.74

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.82

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.2% 164.5 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 13% 231 shares
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 67% 89.55 shares
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Yes 5% 500.83 shares
Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 484.38 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 202.85 shares
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Yes 6% 500.83 shares
Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 194.44 shares
Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 208.33 shares
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 377.27 shares
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65% 122.68 shares
Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 542.83 shares