Polymarket Trader

VandelayArt

0x6597babce307b7ecaebbdb01d0633df1dd00d2af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.87
Realized PnL: $398.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $8.76K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.61

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.47
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $27.52
Potential profit: $25.56
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $19.35
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $18.57
Potential profit: $12.72
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.6%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $17.14
Potential profit: $11.05
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.76
Potential profit: $16.76
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $3.87
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.14
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $8.44
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $3.12
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.91
Potential profit: $4.91
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.33

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.49

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16

Alexandra Eala position

Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Hapoel Tel Aviv position

Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

Yes position

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.46

Yes position

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Under position

Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 7,000 shares
Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027?

No 86.6% 10.15 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 35% 8.57 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini

Grigor Dimitrov 89% 11.24 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini 10% 3.03 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini 33% 3.03 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys

Madison Keys 59% 3.39 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys

Amanda Anisimova 42% 3.57 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys

Amanda Anisimova 56% 3.57 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek

Alexandra Eala 22% 9.09 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajda

Alex de Minaur 75.2% 6.65 shares