Polymarket Trader

claire-pol-a101

0x659c09ffd12d734dc5c153cb3138bc02377e3788

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.76
Realized PnL: $5.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.36
Potential profit: $7.36
User PnL: -$7.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.2
Potential profit: $7.2
User PnL: -$4.68

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $6.99
User PnL: -$4.68

No position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $5.76
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $5.2
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.07
Potential profit: $5.07
User PnL: -$5.06

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.89
Potential profit: $2.89
User PnL: -$2.89

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $2.41
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34
Potential profit: $2.34
User PnL: -$2.32

No position

Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32
Potential profit: $2.32
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

Nippon Ham Fighters position

Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Nippon Ham Fighters

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $2.16
User PnL: -$2.12

DFX Peek position

Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $1.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Up position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Even position

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Down position

Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

TNC position

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #3 Group B

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Up position

XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6AM ET

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

No 98.7% 2.29 shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Yes 98% 2.31 shares
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 5?

No 99.7% 2.26 shares
Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Nippon Ham Fighters

Nippon Ham Fighters 99.9% 2.25 shares
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 2.25 shares
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 2.25 shares
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?

No 99.9% 2.25 shares
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?

Yes 97.7% 2.3 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

No 99.4% 2.26 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 1?

Up 99.9% 2.25 shares
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 48.0 in June?

No 99.9% 2.25 shares
Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 99.9% 2.07 shares