Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $6.81
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $102.19
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Polymarket Trader
jordysurfer
0x65c486ba640f35fcb3671a523875465717c7ff0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.36
- Realized PnL
- $312.38
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96
- Potential profit
- $96
- User PnL
- -$16.32
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.15
- Potential profit
- $95.15
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.6
- Potential profit
- $75.6
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$15.6
No position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $35.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $29.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $11.75
- Potential profit
- $10.79
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $2.46
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.8
No position
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.06
No position
Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.18
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $580 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?No 89% 40 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No 88% 30 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 77% 40 shares
- Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 0.2% 5 shares
- Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 2.2% 40 shares
- Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 2.1% 26 shares
- Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 92.6% 28.92 shares
- Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes 80% 26 shares
- Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 63% 43 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 10% 99 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $580 end of March?No 12% 8.33 shares