Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $489.41
- Potential profit
- $489.41
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Polymarket Trader
wartapol
0x65c7edb350efbd12e599c1e304db8b12fb2fe100
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.33
- Realized PnL
- $807.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $195.92
- Potential profit
- $192.59
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$11.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.22
- Potential profit
- $156.22
- User PnL
- -$117.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.02
- Potential profit
- $86.02
- User PnL
- -$39.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.35
- Potential profit
- $76.35
- User PnL
- -$40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.01
- Potential profit
- $70.01
- User PnL
- -$39.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.1
- Potential profit
- $67.1
- User PnL
- -$39.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.9
- Potential profit
- $63.9
- User PnL
- -$38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.7
- Potential profit
- $62.7
- User PnL
- -$59.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.33
- Potential profit
- $60.33
- User PnL
- -$18.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.62
- Potential profit
- $59.62
- User PnL
- -$28.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.22
- Potential profit
- $53.22
- User PnL
- -$18.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.6
- Potential profit
- $50.6
- User PnL
- -$18.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 20?Yes 13% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?Yes 34.3% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?Yes 30.8% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?Yes 22% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 19?Yes 4.9% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 19?Yes 34% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?Yes 44% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?Yes 26% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 17?Yes 36% 44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?Yes 30.6% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?Yes 18.8% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 16?Yes 0.2% 50 shares