Polymarket Trader

mvma

0x65d1dfacd31f0a75083db245fefe1856603c0e74

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.64K
Realized PnL: $10.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.07K
Potential profit: $46.07K
User PnL: -$150.14

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $592.56
Potential payout: $20.79K
Potential profit: $20.2K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $191.64

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.1%
Current value: $16.62K
Potential payout: $18.88K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $380.34

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $190.35
Potential payout: $15.23K
Potential profit: $15.04K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$788.64

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $28.55
Potential payout: $11.42K
Potential profit: $11.39K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$131.05

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $188.4
Potential payout: $11.42K
Potential profit: $11.23K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $28.81

Yes position

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $17.13
Potential payout: $11.42K
Potential profit: $11.4K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$142.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $3.37K

Yes position

Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.97

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $597.96

No position

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.98

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: $390.8

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $370.03

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.2

No position

Will less than 100k jobs be added in February?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.64

No position

Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.22

Yes position

Will the US add between 200-250k jobs in March?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.01

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.46

No position

Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between ≥4.3%?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.83

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.82

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.93

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.14

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.19

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.07

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $58.18

No position

Will the US add between 50-100k jobs in March?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.12

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $51.21

No position

Will the US add between 100-150k jobs in March?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 2,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 10,000 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 84% 60 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 2,068.56 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 25,000 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 84.2% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 7,000 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 85.2% 500 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 75.99 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 800 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 3,700 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 2,064.44 shares