Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $159.56
- Potential payout
- $180.29
- Potential profit
- $20.73
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $4.56
Polymarket Trader
Bernce
@Yolanda44182689
0x65dc19da6f16191bec40fa406bbb413154b02a02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $204.42
- Realized PnL
- $118.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $44.86
- Potential payout
- $45.64
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.69
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- User PnL
- -$13.65
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.58
- Potential profit
- $12.58
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.07
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Warriors position
Grizzlies vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Magic position
Bucks vs. Magic
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 180.29 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 45.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.7% 20 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 97.4% 131.65 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 85% 20 shares
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder 68% 6.22 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 98.6% 26.06 shares
- Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?Yes 86% 18.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 77.1% 29.83 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 35% 51.31 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 99.1% 18.12 shares
- Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?No 87% 15.69 shares