Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $367.06
- Potential payout
- $644.08
- Potential profit
- $277.02
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $12.3
Polymarket Trader
MicAllElle
0x65e4d9cbde2d3fd5e7b8d6374dcbd267bd992420
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $830.47
- Realized PnL
- $3.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $209.04
- Potential payout
- $503.7
- Potential profit
- $294.67
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $84.35
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.87
- Potential profit
- $200.87
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $106.14
- Potential payout
- $200.27
- Potential profit
- $94.13
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $10.01
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.43
- Potential profit
- $121.43
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $112.91
- Potential profit
- $108.34
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $29.58
- Potential payout
- $109.55
- Potential profit
- $79.97
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
No position
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.64
- Potential payout
- $101.06
- Potential profit
- $87.42
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $51.75
- Potential payout
- $100.49
- Potential profit
- $48.74
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.1
- Potential profit
- $91.1
- User PnL
- -$9.11
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.47
- Potential profit
- $89.47
- User PnL
- -$20.01
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $33.18
- Potential payout
- $39.27
- Potential profit
- $6.09
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $9.62
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.44
- Potential profit
- $24.44
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.12
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $448.37
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.63
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.43
Yes position
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.03
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.81
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.57
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.7
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.87
No position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.85
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.42
No position
Epstein Presidential Parlay
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.33
No position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
Yes position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.08
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.82
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.25
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.78
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.06
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.42
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $68.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.08
No position
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Graham Platner divorce by October 31?No 60% 39.27 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No 3.5% 112.91 shares
- Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 29% 109.55 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 43% 100.49 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 36.06 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 105.59 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 46.8% 105.6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No 17% 101.06 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 55% 197.35 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 48% 200.27 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 53.9% 149.74 shares